Prediction and betting FC Porto vs Atlético de Madrid
Prediction and betting FC Porto vs Atlético de Madrid
Betting preview FC Porto vs Atlético de Madrid
WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan shares his thoughts on the UEFA Champions League match between FC Porto and Atlético Madrid that kicks off at 1:45pm ET. Porto has nine points in Group B and Atlético de Madrid has only accumulated five points heading into the last day of the group stage.
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Bets FC Porto vs Atlético de Madrid
Tuesday, November 1 | German Bundesliga betting tips |
---|---|
FC Porto: | +143 |
Atlético de Madrid: | +192 |
Lucky draw: | +237 |
Total: | 2.5 goals (higher ratios courtesy of DraftKings) |
Game time: | 1:45 PM ET / 10:45 AM PT |
Betting analysis between FC Porto and Atlético de Madrid
Atletico may still be reeling from their late penalty miss last week to knock them out of this year’s Champions League contention, but they can’t allow their desperation to play too much of a factor here, either that another loss could see them out of the competition. unstable position in the Europa League as well.
Just one point separates Atletico Madrid from Bayer Leverkusen in third place in the table, while a win for FC Porto in this game, and anything but a win for Club Brugges in the other game, would see the Portuguese team finished first.
Atlético Madrid have dominated the last few meetings against FC Porto, winning four of their last five with a draw as well, including two wins in their last two meetings in Portugal.
Diego Simeone is nearing the exit
This result against Bayer Leverkusen last week not only doomed Atlético’s chances of progression in this competition, as well as cutting them off from a massive income stream, Atlético also fell into another bad defeat at the weekend against relegation-fighting Cadiz.
This puts monumental pressure on Diego Simeone’s position at the club ahead of this clash, with calls for him to be sacked from fans and supporters growing. However, the Argentine coach remains defiant and insists his contract runs until 2024 and will guide Atlético through the troubled waters they are currently in.
However, a win here on Tuesday will be absolutely paramount to those plans if they are to survive their current position.
The revenge of the Spanish rivals has been stimulated in Porto
The day’s final group stage clash against Atlético Madrid is something Porto are all too familiar with after being knocked out by their Spanish rivals in last year’s competition.
Porto sat a point ahead of Atlético heading into the final matchday at the Estadio do Drago, but it mattered little as the Spanish giants cruised to victory, with Atlético scoring three goals in what was a crazy end to the match (three goals in total stoppage time), to leave the Portuguese team out of the competition in front of their own fans.
While we’ll likely miss that same drama this year, with Porto players actively celebrating after Yannick Carrasco’s penalty miss for Atlético last week, there’s definitely no love lost between these two historic rivals in the European stage.
Prediction FC Porto – Atlético de Madrid
Despite their early exit from this year’s competition, however, we fancy Atlético to bounce back in this spot and claim victory and cover on Tuesday night against FC Porto in Portugal.
Porto have been lucky so far in this group stage, with Atlético enjoying a goal xGD/90 over Porto so far in the group stage, but have failed to show that statistical dominance in actual results.
Atlético have also posted much stronger offensive xG and defensive xGA numbers this campaign too, with Porto particularly poor at home this season, having been beaten 4-0 by Club Brugges at the Estadio do Drago earlier campaign and has been very lucky. with a win against Bayer Leverkusen as well, a game where they lost the xG battle a lot.
Take Atletico Madrid to PK on Tuesday to win and cover on the road against FC Porto in the Champions League.
Prediction: Atlético de Madrid Moneyline +192
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Downtime | Premier League Betting Tips
After spending three years on the sidelines at Brighton, Graham Potter will lead Chelsea into action against his former club this weekend. Who has the upper hand in this unique matchup? Join Carmine Bianco, Kevin Dolan, Pavlos Lagunetos and Nick Borrman for Stoppage Time as we preview this weekend’s top Premier League fixtures.

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Meet the author
“Ireland’s sharpest sporting mind” is how one leading newspaper dubbed him Kevin Dolan after becoming the first foreigner to win the World Series of Handicap tournament in 2015. “The Irishman” went on to bet on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all with immense success.
Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the United States and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping called “The Guide full of sports betting”.
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