Selections Astros vs. Phillies World Series Predictions Game 3: Series swings to Philadelphia

Selections Astros vs. Phillies World Series Predictions Game 3: Series swings to Philadelphia

The Philadelphia Phillies look to keep their home undefeated postseason record intact when they host the Houston Astros in Game 3 of the World Series. Read on for our Astros-Phillies picks.

Houston is the fifth team to hold at least a five-run lead in each of the first two games of the World Series, according to ESPN Stats & Info. In each of the previous four instances, these teams won it all. Will the Astros take the next step to repeat history?

Here are my MLB picks and predictions for Game 3 of Monday’s World Series between the Astros and Phillies (likely via Caesars Sportsbook, Draftkings sports bettingi FanDuel Sportsbook; choose confidence based on a scale of 1 to 5 stars).

Astros vs. Game Information Phillies

Date: Monday, October 31, 8:03 PM ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Time: 67 degrees, 23% chance of precipitation, S wind at 6 mph

Astros vs Phillies odds

Astros vs Phillies odds analysis

Houston ranges from -125 to -134 Moneyline favorites. The sharp action is on the Astros, who have attracted 59% of bets and 76% of cash.

FanDuel is the only sportsbook that offers a total of 7.5 runs, as all other sportsbooks are at 8 with varying levels of juice. The Over is the most popular side, attracting 73% of bets and 66% of cash.

Astros vs Phillies projected pitchers

Lance McCullers Jr. (4-2, 2.77 ERA, 1.24 WHIP) vs. Noah Syndergaard (10-10, 3.94 ERA, 1.26 WHIP)

McCullers was limited to eight starts this year after a flexor tendon injury in his right forearm kept him out of the rotation until mid-August. He threw 100 pitches in his previous postseason start, allowing three earned runs on eight hits in five innings of a 6-5 series victory in Game 4 against the New York Yankees.

Syndergaard was 5-2 in 10 appearances (nine starts) after joining the Phillies at the trade deadline. However, his WHIP, H/9 and strikeout rates were worse with Philadelphia than when he pitched for the Los Angeles Angels. Syndergaard has made three appearances this postseason, totaling 5 1/3 innings, allowing just one earned run on three hits in that span.

Astros vs. Phillies selections

Astros vs. Phillies ML selection

Astros (-125) ★★★

Houston has Philadelphia in its worst batting division going into this game, as the Phillies hit lefties better than righties all season. Against lefties, the Phillies had a 115 wRC+, .335 wOBA, .324 BABIP and a .769 OPS. When facing right-handed pitching, those numbers dropped to 102 wRC+, .316 wOBA, .289 BABIP and .727 OPS.

The Astros became the first team in World Series history to start a game with three consecutive extra-base hits. Their offense always seems to feed off setter Jose Altuve, who has bounced back from an atrocious stretch. Altuve was 3-for-4 in Game 2 after starting the postseason 4-for-37. Houston’s lineup becomes much more dangerous if Altuve continues his strong hitting.

Astros vs. Phillies O/U Selection

Over 7.5 (-118) ★★★★★

Syndergaard will likely have a long leash in this game, as his longest postseason appearance this year was three innings. With Philadelphia likely needing to string together at least 18 outs between four relievers, the lead shifts heavily to Houston. The Astros bullpen has allowed one unearned run in a combined 6 2/3 innings this series.

Houston became the first team to tag Aaron Nola and Zack Wheeler for five runs apiece in back-to-back starts as Phillies teammates, and Syndergaard isn’t in the same talent-wise stratosphere as those two.

We’re happy to place this bet on FanDuel despite the high juice, as we’d only need eight runs to cash this bet, but nine or more to cash in all other sportsbooks.

Astros vs. Phillies Prop Pick

McCullers scores the win (+200) ★★

McCullers is not afraid of the moment as he has a solid career 2.77 postseason ERA. McCullers was knocked out for eight hits in his last start against the Yankees, but that speaks to Dusty Baker’s old-school management style as he stuck with his horse and allowed him to complete five innings.

The Phillies are hitting .214 with a .576 OPS against McCullers, and there’s a good chance Houston will have the lead after five innings if it’s as far as it goes tonight.

Where to bet on Astros-Phillies Picks

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Astros-Phillies picks made 10/31/2022 at 6:22 am ET.

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