NCAA Football

San Diego State vs. New Mexico Prediction, Odds: 2022 College Football Week 12 Picks, Model Validated Bets

San Diego State vs. New Mexico Prediction, Odds: 2022 College Football Week 12 Picks, Model Validated Bets

The San Diego State Aztecs looking for their second conference road win in 2022 college football season on Friday night as they travel to face adversity New Mexico Lobos in the national competition. The Aztecs (6-4, 4-2) have won four of their last five and can keep their hopes alive for a spot in the Mountain West title game with another win Friday. But they faltered on the road against Boise State and Fresno State, with their lone conference win on the road coming against underdogs Nevada. New Mexico (2-8, 0-6) hopes to snap a seven-game hitting streak by pulling off a big upset at home.

Kickoff is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET from University Stadium in Albuquerque. The Aztecs are a 14.5-point favorite and the over/under for total points is 39.5 in the latest San Diego State vs. New Mexico odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Before locking in any New Mexico vs. San Diego State picks, make sure you check out the football predictions and betting tips from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the patented computer model has produced a staggering profit of nearly $3,000 for players with $100 at its highest ranking college football picks against proliferation. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now the model is fixed San Diego State vs. New Mexico and just released college football picks and predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see select models. Here college football odds and betting lines for San Diego State vs. New Mexico:

  • San Diego State vs. New Mexico: Point Spread: San Diego State -14.5
  • San Diego State vs. New Mexico Over/Under: 36
  • San Diego State vs. New Mexico money line: San Diego State -650, New Mexico +460
  • SDSU: Aztecs are 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 road games vs. losing teams
  • UNM: The Lobos are 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings in this series
  • San Diego State vs. New Mexico Picks: See the selection here

Why San Diego State can cover

San Diego State’s comeback from a 14-point deficit last week against San Jose was sparked by a 95-yard touchdown return Jordan Byrd. It was the third touchdown return of Bird’s career and symbolized a special teams unit that continues to be among the best in the nation. According to ESPN, San Diego State has a special teams efficiency rating of 79.6, second in the nation behind South Carolina at 80.6.

Bird became the first FBS player to have at least one rushing touchdown, receiving touchdown, punt return touchdown and punt return touchdown in a season since Temple Isaiah Wright accomplished the feat in 2018, becoming the second Aztec to reach the milestone. Rashaad Penny did the same in 2017. No other Mountain West player has accomplished that feat since the conference’s inception in 1999. Byrd also leads the club in rushing with 364 yards on 76 attempts with three touchdowns. The senior also has six receptions for 51 yards and another score.

Why New Mexico can cover up

There are plenty of circumstantial details that suggest the Lobos can keep Friday’s game competitive and possibly even pull off an outright upset. First, their two wins on the season have come at home, and they’ve been respectable at home in conference play. They led Wyoming 14-7 at the half and trailing Fresno State just 13-6 before the games faded away in the second half. Overall, the Lobos have led at halftime in three of their six MWC contests.

Moreover, it is the last home game for the senior class of 12 players. Coach Danny Gonzalez told the media this week that he hopes the effort will allow the seniors to go out on a memorable note and help move the program forward in a positive way.

It could also be argued that this is a natural fit for the Aztecs after coming back from a 14-point deficit against San Jose State last week. Conditions could also be uncomfortable for a club that spent the week practicing in 70-degree weather San Diego. Temperatures in Las Cruces are forecast to drop to near zero by kickoff.

How to pick San Diego State vs. New Mexico

The model simulated San Diego State vs. New Mexico 10,000 times and the results are published. It is based on total points, predicting 36 points scored. He also created a point spread selection that reaches 60% of simulations. You can see the model selection only at SportsLine.

So who will win San Diego State vs. New Mexico? And which side of the spread falls in 60% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the schedule you need to jump on, all from the model that broke down the college football picksand find out.

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