NCAA Football

College basketball’s early overreaction: Five takeaways from the first two weeks of the 2022-23 season.

College basketball’s early overreaction: Five takeaways from the first two weeks of the 2022-23 season.

College basketball’s early overreaction: Five takeaways from the first two weeks of the 2022-23 season.

We’re two weeks into the college basketball season, which means we can officially recruit some information from the results and data we have seen and accumulated so far. Whether it’s all tacky and prescriptive is probably (definitely!) yet to be determined, but judgments are nevertheless formed based on what we know so far and what we think we know so far. So why not put pen to paper and distribute a small sample of overreactions? (So ​​we can inevitably look back on it in a few months and see how right we were.)

Most teams have played four, maybe five games, so a lot of them are subject to change, of course. Teams can and often do change and evolve throughout the season as injured players return, new teams are introduced, and younger players develop. But. . . sometimes early season results are more predictable than we believe. And if they are. . . well, that’s going to be a problem for a few teams (and a boon for a few others.)

Let’s jump right in and start with some lows. You can’t spell most of the word “low” without “Louisville“, so the Cardinals are first.

Lousy Louisville is the worst team in the ACC

This season has been so bad for Louisville that I think as long as we’re overreacting early in the season, it’s wise to just cut the “in the ACC” off this prediction and move on. Louisville is the worst team. Kenny Payne’s tenure with the Cardinals got off to a miserable start. The absence of five-star recruit DJ Wagner was just a taste of how things were going on the court. Z 80-54 loss per discharge to No. 9 Arkansas at the Maui Invitational on Monday, the Cardinals fell to 0-4 on the season, their worst start in more than eight decades (!!).

It got worse on Tuesday. Louisville had its lowest offensive output in 74 years in a 70-38 loss at No. 21 Texas Tech.

There are tons of reasons why the Cardinals aren’t a good basketball team right now, but #1 on the list right now is their inability to take care of the ball. Louisville ranks dead last among all major conference programs in passing ratio with 72 turnovers and 31 turnovers on the season after a staggering 22 turnovers and four turnovers against Arkansas.

And what’s next for the 0-5 Cardinals? The schedule does not favor them. Louisville plays in the seventh-place game at the Maui Invitational on Wednesday against Cincinnati before starting this challenging schedule:

November 29 No. 23 Maryland
December 4 Miami
December 10 in the state of Florida
December 14 Western Kentucky
December 17 Florida A&M
December 20 Lipscomb
December 22 at NC State
December 31 at No. 15 Kentucky

Louisville started the 1940-41 season with an 11-game losing streak and is a certain possibility of going 0-10 this season before the home game against the Rattlers. But Payne’s debut season arrived Painful the beginning of the cardinals.

Villanova is not the same without Jay Wright

Put it in a category well yes well but Villanova, as it turns out, doesn’t have the same buzz it did under Hall of Fame coach Jay Wright than it still does under his replacement, Kyle Neptune. The Wildcats are 2-2 on the season with a loss Temple and No. 12 Michigan State. Their style remains the same – slow as ever, with a slow tempo to grind teams down – but their results have been mixed so far.

Not having a five-star freshman Cam Whitmore and a veteran star Justin Moore, both of whom are coming off injuries, is important and part of the context of why things started slowly. But the Nova looks like a tier below the 10th Creighton and #20 End in the beginning they go. We’ll see if things change as conference play approaches, but this could just be a down year as the Wildcats give up on a new era, but this year could bring with it some growing pains that the program hasn’t faced in recent years.

The Big 12 is the big dog (again)

In the preseason, there was reason to be bullish about the SEC and Big Ten potentially beating out the mighty Big 12 as the top college conference. But so far, that optimism has been blunted by a big stick, as the Big 12 looks like it might be the best in college basketball, too. Texas 4-0 and ranked No. 4 in the AP Top 25 and No. 1 in the rankings CBS Sports Top 25 and 1 I’m blowing this or that. 2 Gonzaga. No. 3 Kansas is 4-0 after retiring #8 duke. And both #7 Baylor and #21 Texas Techdespite one stumble each, looked as good or possibly better than advertised.

Meanwhile, the SVC has a big dog #15 Kentucky looked rough and #22 Tennessee fell flat against hot and cold Coloradoand in the Big Ten, No. 11 IndianaNo. 12 State of MichiganNo. 16 IllinoisNo. 23 Maryland and #25 Iowathey’ve all been impressive so far, but no team or teams have been as good as the Big 12’s collection at the top.

Virginia is an ACC class

Preseason No. 1 North Carolina didn’t do anything to technically lose his rating — he won each of his four games on the season — but he certainly didn’t do anything to really validate that rating. Against three top-80 teams KenPom.comUNC is 54th nationally in scoring with closer-than-needed wins against UNC Wilmington and Gardner-Webb.

Meanwhile, No. 5 Virginia’s preseason buzz has translated into early-season success with one of its most impressive first two weeks, highlighted by wins in Vegas last week over Baylor and Illinois. With Duke not yet at full strength and UNC faltering early, the Cavaliers look like contenders again under Tony Bennett and appear to be the class of the ACC until further notice.

Big Ten Exceeds High Expectations

There were only three Big Ten teams in the AP preseason top 25: Indiana, Michigan and Illinois, which was fewer than the Big 12 and SEC, but a whopping six teams from the conference made the latest AP Top 25 rankings on Monday. That’s more than any other major conference. His growth has been fueled by strong early-season showings at Michigan State, Maryland, Purdue and Iowa, all of whom were unranked in the preseason but are 15-1 overall to start the season with wins over Kentucky and Vilanova (in Michigan), St. Louis and Miami (in Maryland), Marquette (to Purdue) and Seton Hall (in Iowa).

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