UCF vs. Duke odds, picks and predictions

The The UCF Knights (9-4) and Duke Blue Devils (8-4) will meet in the Military Bowl on Wednesday at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Md. The match is scheduled to begin at 2:00 PM ET (ESPN). We analyze below Tipico sports book lines around st UCF vs. Duke chancesand make our expert college football picks and predictions.

UCF and Duke are meeting on the gridiron for the first time.

The Knights have alternated wins and losses in their last 6 bowl games, coming off a 29-17 victory over Florida in the Gasparilla Bowl last season. UCF has not faced an ACC opponent in a bowl game since a 34-27 loss at St. Petersburg Bowl by NC State on December 26, 2014.

The transfer portal has been a big story before some of these mid-major games, and UCF is not immune. POUND Jeremiah Jean-Baptistesecond on team with 37 tackles with 5 passes defensed and forced fumble, entered portal.

Another notable player to join him is WR Ryan O’Keefe, who had a team-high 73 receptions for 725 yards and 5 TDs. The next best receiver, in terms of catches, was a WR Javon Baker with 54 captures.

The Knights split a pair of games against ACC teams in the regular season, losing 20-14 at home against Louisville before shutting out Georgia Tech 27-10. He went 0-2 ATS in 2 games against the ACC with a pair of subpar results.

The Blue Devils are riding a three-game winning streak, including their most recent postseason appearance in the 2018 Independence Bowl against Temple, another AAC school.

Duke finished the season winning 4 of their last 5 games overall, going 5-1 ATS in their last 6 overs. The Blue Devils won their only AAC meeting this season with a 30-0 rout of Temple in the opener on Sept. 2.

Departure: AFCA Coaches Poll based on USA TODAY sports

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Odds for UCF vs. Duke

Provided A typical sports bookie; access USA TODAY Sports Scores & Betting Center for a complete list. Lines was last updated on Tuesday at 9:21 PM ET.

• Money Line (ML): UCF +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Duke -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
• Anti Spread (ATS): UCF +3.5 (-113) | Duke -3.5 (-107)
• Over/Under (O/U): 62 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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UCF vs. Duke picks and predictions

Prediction

UCF 34, Duke 30

Money line

UCF (+145) worth a try in this game as short dogs. The knights lose O’Keefe in the portal, but still have plenty of weapons. It’s an offense that has gained 480.2 yards per game, 11th in the nation, while rushing for 235.7 yards per game to rank 8th in the nation.

Duke (-170) has been solid against the rush, allowing just 120.3 yards per game, but the Blue Devils have really struggled against the pass, allowing 262.3 yards per game, 109th overall.

Against proliferation

UCF +3.5 (-113) it’s a strong game, especially in 3 and hook. The Knights have shown an ability to rebound, going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 following a straight up loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 following a shutout.

All of Duke’s -3.5 (-107) ATS trends very strong, so tread carefully. However, UCF has a high-powered offense that will have the Blue Devils’ hands full.

More/less

OVER 62 (-108) it’s a solid game.

The Over is 4-1 in UCF’s last 5 games overall while the over is 8-0 in their previous 8 home games.

Duke has won the Over in 5 of its last 6 neutral site events while going 6-1 in its last 7 Dec. 7 games. The Blue Devils have also won the Over in each of their previous 6 cup appearances.

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