Mississippi State vs. Illinois Picks Predictions: ReliaQuest Bowl Odds Spread Lines
The college football bowl season moves into the new year with a quartet of games set for Monday, including the ReliaQuest Bowl between Mississippi State and Illinois.
Mississippi State enters the game following a tragedy following the sudden death of former head coach Mike Leach, but the school has decided to hold a game in his honor, the first for new coach Zach Arnett on the sidelines.
The Bulldogs posted an 8-4 record last season, tied for third in the SEC West with rival Ole Miss, who they beat in the regular season finale, and are looking to win what would be their second bowl game in three years.
Illinois boasts the No. 2 overall defense in college football this season, allowing all of 263.8 yards per game and the No. 1 ranked defense nationally, giving up 12.3 points per game.
Chase Brown was second among running backs with 1,463 yards, but he forgoed a bowl game to prepare for the NFL draft, leaving sophomore Reggie Love, who had 277 yards and two touchdowns, and senior Chase Haden, who ran for 87 yards. on 22 bears. Both averaged over four yards per carry.
Senior quarterback Tommy DeVito leads the Illini in rushing, completing nearly 70 percent of his pass attempts for 2,397 yards with 15 touchdowns and four interceptions.
What do the experts think about the match? Let’s take a look at how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.
ReliaQuest Bowl: Mississippi vs. Illinois picks, predictions
Mississippi State Predictions: The computers are on the side of the Bulldogs, who have a 54.0 percent chance to win the game.
Illinois predictions: According to index projections, the Fighting Illini have a 46.0 percent chance to pull off the upset.
Point Spread: According to the SI Sportsbook lines, Mississippi State is a 2-point favorite against Illinois.
Total: 46 | More than -110 | Under -118
Cash line: Mississippi State -143 | Illinois +110
Mississippi State vs. Illinois betting trends: “MSU is 5-3-1 against the spread as a favorite, while Illinois is 3-1 ATS as an underdog. The Illini’s games are routinely below the projected total, while the Bulldogs’ contests have been over seven times so far.” —Jennifer Piacenti, Sports Illustrated
Piacenti adds, “The Bulldogs needed coverage in each of their last two games to finish 6-5-1 ATS, while Illinois also covered the spread in their last two games.”
Distribute consensus choices: Mississippi State -2 (62% bets on the Bulldogs)
Prediction of results: Team Ratings have Mississippi State beat Illinois by an estimated score of 24.4 to 21.4 (MSU -2, Under 46)
How to watch, stream: The game is scheduled for Monday, Jan. 2 at 11 a.m. Central Time on the ESPN2 Network and live on fuboTV (Try it for free).
The Football Power Index (FPI) and the College Football Prediction Computer Model is a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future play.
Ratings and score predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season using a combination of analytics, including points to date, quality of opponents and team schedule.
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