Which AFC/NFC teams are most likely to play in Super Bowl LVII? Who will lift the Lombardi Trophy?
NFC NO. 2 SEEDS | 13-4
- Odds to win the Super Bowl: +450
- Odds to win NFC: +170
My models are usually pretty conservative, so I think it’s wild that San Francisco has the best odds in the NFC to win Super Bowl LVII. Not only are the 49ers the No. 2 seed in the conference, they are led by a rookie quarterback. And not the rookie quarterback who started the entire season with the first pick, but Mr. Irrelevant, who entered the lineup in December. However, based on more than 20 seasons of data, the most reliable recipe for postseason success is a combination of a strong O-line and running game with a defense that can get behind the passer and shut down the run — essentially, the 2022 Niners. So far, 60% Brock PurdyHe leads the NFL in open targets with a 119.0 passer rating since taking over as San Francisco’s starter in Week 14, according to NGS. That number marks the second-highest among QBs through the first five starts. During the Super Bowl, he trails only NFL Network’s Kurt Warner (131.4). The 23-year-old isn’t all about eating and slashing: Since Week 13, Purdy has the second-highest mark in 10-plus-yard field goals.
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