One supporter of the Kremlin regime working there tried to “shame” the residents of Dagestan by declaring that even she was ready to go to war, but this apparently sincere determination only irritated the protestors even more.
“We fought in 1941-1945, it was a war. And now there is no war here. It’s just politics,” said one man.
— Алексей Кириленко (@Kirilenko_a) September 22, 2022
Not to mention, the employee of the military committee was not even able to formulate what exact threat the residents of Dagestan face in Ukraine to defend the Russian Federation, saying that they should watch TV. Such a proposal met with nothing but bullying.
Those gathered emphasized that no one is attacking them. The employee of the military committee also tried to tell that her son is fighting for Russia in Ukraine, and if necessary, she will go to war herself.
To this she was answered that she was going on her own, and there was no need to send her son to the war: “Go to war yourself, and I am not going to.”
At the time, videos appeared on social networks showing the closure of a main road in the Babayurtovsk district of Dagestan due to anti-mobilization protests. At first it was barricaded by local residents, but now, according to observers, it is blocked by power structures.
Local residents blocked the federal highway near Babayurta pic.twitter.com/fAEszeBUku
— Руслан Ахалчи (@akhalchi) September 22, 2022
Western experts believe that the partial mobilization announced by Russian President Vladimir Putin on Wednesday will prolong the war in Ukraine, but will not change the balance of power, and they also warn against underestimating the Kremlin’s thinly veiled threat to use nuclear weapons.
V. Putin announced about 300,000 people the night before. call for reservists, and at the end of February, almost 200,000 were mobilized for the invasion of Ukraine. soldiers The master of the Kremlin announced the partial mobilization after his soldiers lost a large part of the Ukrainian territories seized at the beginning of the war.
This week, the authorities imposed by Moscow on the occupied Ukrainian territories of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhia also announced that they intend to hold annexation referendums on joining Russia on September 23-27. Western countries condemned these intentions and promised to announce new sanctions against Moscow.
But analysts say it was a politically risky move by the Russian leader as domestic opposition to the war grows and the structure of military mobilization has weakened over the past decade.
“They’re not going to be able to do it well,” said Dara Massicot, a Russian defense specialist at the RAND Corporation who studies the mobilization process.
“They will collect people and send them to the front with old training, poor leadership, equipment in even worse condition than the active duty forces and send them chaotically in parts because they don’t have time to wait,” she said.
For his part, Michael Kofman, a defense specialist at the Center for a New American Security, a Washington think tank, warned not to underestimate these efforts.
This will help Moscow consolidate its current front lines, which are under heavy pressure from Ukrainian troops backed by Western arms.
“It is clear that the Russian military is very vulnerable as winter approaches, and it will look even worse in 2023,” Kofman said on Wednesday.
“So it may expand Russia’s ability to continue the war, but its overall trajectory and outcomes should not change,” he said.
But Putin’s challenge is to assemble a force that is properly trained, equipped, competently led, and motivated.
“If these reservists are trained… it’s still not much.” The quality of teaching will still be questionable. Who will lead them? Everything else remains open questions,” said Rob Lee, a senior fellow at the Philadelphia-based Institute for Foreign Policy Studies.
“Motivated volunteers from the Ukrainian side will increasingly participate in this war, and from the Russian side there will be more people who do not want to be there,” he predicted.
Retired Australian general and defense analyst Mick Ryan says Putin still wants to “prolong the war and outsmart the West”.
“Given the decline in combat performance since the 3-4 month mark, this is a depleted force that needs to be rotated,” he wrote on Twitter.
“The number of soldiers called up is not enough to make a decisive contribution or change the outcome of the war… It is more about rotation and replacement,” the expert added.
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